Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 312.763342 354.497954 401.030516 456.996415 522.793401 598.071624 691.257173
2025-06-29 248.996424 302.918955 368.544989 455.233330 568.143522 712.201551 913.147373
2025-07-06 206.624611 262.573681 334.495686 435.397542 576.031296 769.317662 1062.715465
2025-07-13 189.918727 250.609086 332.442118 453.575419 633.148321 897.693612 1333.245157
2025-07-20 177.830544 242.370853 333.070717 473.834486 694.414500 1040.804879 1656.676059
2025-07-27 163.374677 228.617176 323.473744 476.616757 728.168899 1145.665203 1940.423143
2025-08-03 147.818064 211.330846 306.277480 464.665716 735.347583 1206.371003 2158.239924
2025-08-10 135.415024 197.395507 292.429652 455.816062 745.553683 1272.865639 2401.879832
2025-08-17 129.493094 192.743467 292.416974 469.517688 796.689719 1422.933889 2855.816282
2025-08-24 121.224172 183.544479 283.990774 467.421903 818.168998 1519.142837 3218.847431
2025-08-31 112.945934 173.583594 273.271616 459.792377 827.629678 1592.141734 3548.250217
2025-09-07 107.169955 167.244638 268.038149 461.437835 855.386228 1708.980314 4023.894616
2025-09-14 99.740616 157.714611 256.711520 450.883052 857.843125 1773.019941 4389.891418
2025-09-21 94.356533 151.298816 250.373305 449.330748 879.402243 1886.812821 4943.175511
2025-09-28 86.966051 140.833649 235.814796 429.795772 858.564538 1893.290850 5173.816249
2025-10-05 85.297950 140.345683 239.516763 447.688106 924.989683 2135.384644 6270.789634
2025-10-12 83.939873 140.282988 243.962788 467.625130 999.730497 2419.425393 7666.766382
2025-10-19 80.616708 136.355070 240.614821 470.362945 1033.062854 2596.586827 8759.850003
2025-10-26 75.944854 129.596378 231.177559 458.602470 1027.921249 2659.475204 9420.387381
2025-11-02 71.970355 123.907409 223.446372 449.893243 1029.491941 2744.026144 10229.320876
2025-11-09 70.552677 123.004499 225.287521 463.377202 1092.672601 3042.779263 12248.701632
2025-11-16 67.705227 119.141214 220.739074 461.314802 1112.744772 3204.304558 13699.504467
2025-11-23 64.551883 114.488935 214.207090 453.806535 1116.229679 3309.686531 14928.324905